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but they can mislead. This poll looks pretty dismal for Sarah Palin's viability as a 2012 contender: 53% "definitely would not vote for her." Yet the poll's methodology is precisely how a President is not elected: a "random national sample." Even if we assume that the number is reflective of national averages, it is meaningless if it includes respondents from states that will not vote for the GOP ticket in any conceivable configuration. Even if 100% of New Yorkers would definitely not vote for Palin, for instance, that's meaningless in assessing her viability qua potential nominee for a party that will not win New York's vote anyway. I would like to see some meaningful polling on the subject: the same question asked on a state-by-state basis.
Post facto:
Numbers don't lie but can mislead, redux (2/18/10)
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