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Post election Introspection

Submitted by c3 on Thu, 10/23/2008 - 4:15pm

Today we noted this report from the Pew Center for Excellence in Journalism.

But coverage of McCain has been heavily unfavorable—and has become more so over time. In the six weeks following the conventions through the final debate, unfavorable stories about McCain outweighed favorable ones by a factor of more than three to one—the most unfavorable of all four candidates

I would encourage everyone to read this summary. Among the interesting findings:
-Obama's positive coverage post-coverage centered on his lead in the polls (i.e. "everyone loves a winner)
-McCain's negative coverage accelerated after the financial crisis. As he took increasingly bolder steps to try and reverse the direction of the polls, the coverage only worsened.(i.e. "when the sh*t's flying everywhere the best thing is to duck")
-Obama's positive coverage began dramatically in '07.
-attacks hinder positive press coverage
-The economy played in Obama's favor.

And the most revealing quote:

What the findings also reveal is the reinforcing—rather than press-generated—effects of media. We see a repeating pattern here in which the press first offers a stenographic account of candidate rhetoric and behavior, while also on the watch for misstatements and gaffes. Then, in a secondary reaction, it measures the political impact of what it has reported. This is magnified in particular during presidential races by the prevalence of polling and especially daily tracking. While this echo effect exists in all press coverage, it is far more intense in presidential elections

IMHO this is similar to press coverage of the financial crisis. If the coverage is dominated with words like "crisis", "depression", etc then the coverage hurts confidence and then drives the market down further leading to further negative coverage. (However this could be my attempt at high-minded understanding. It may just be that reaction to public reaction is going after stories that will gain more reader/viewership.)

Hopefully, there will be some post-election introspection to get a handle on this (or am I being naive?) Why won't it happen now. I would cite this as a reason why there will be no self-examiniation till after Nov. 4. I mean when you're getting assaulted you tend not to ask yourself if maybe you should have locked the car door, you tend to want to fight back. (And hence more negative coverage!!)

Yes, read this study

Yep, I mentioned this below in the Biden thread. THanks for posting the full links. I think the study gives some weight to the rants I have posted regarding media. Take this media effect away and at best Obama is tied with McCain. As I suggested to Raf, were the bias to leave and issues get vetted, then the flaws I suspect of Obama would rise to the top as the real reasons not to vote for Obama/Pelosi.

introspection forecast

Call me a cynic, Chris, but my weather forecast for introspection on such matters calls for scattered blathering and partly cloudy reasoning bringing forth a cold front of complete inaction. :-)

It's a simple feedback loop leading to amplification. It's inevitable when we have as MUCH media as we have. And that ABSOLUTELY includes blogs. They're a HUGE part of the amplification and feedback.

Sometimes I think everyone should play guitar simply for the sake of having a really good mental and visceral understanding of a feedback loop and what it physically feels like. if you play a hollow-body electric and get too close to the amp at too high a volume, the whole guitar shakes and loud horrible disturbing sounds drown out everything else.

if you use that as an analogy and carry it further, imagine a room where more and more and more players show up all the time, and everyone wants their guitar to be heard over all the others. All you get is an incomprehensible din. This leads me to think that it's not so much an issue of individual behavior but collective environment. It's sort of a tragedy of the commons. Too many reporters, too much data, not enough serious, high-quality, unbiased analysis. Or if there is, not enough space on stage for it to get noticed, never mind heeded.

My master's project years ago suggested that the advebt of an age of stunning data overload would require individuals to become diligent informed active editors in order to make sense of their world. Not that this wasn't always true, but I think the 21st century is really recasting the bounds of the efficacy of rational ignorance.

But that's just my cloudy reasoning. :-)
__________
I have often said, and oftener think, that this world is a comedy for those who think, and a tragedy for those who feel. -Horace Walpole

There won't be

There won't be introspection. The press loves gaffes, and people love to watch gaffes. What is important to point out is that this style of coverage isn't biased for or against one candidate--look at how Kerry was mutilated by the press in 2004. The candidate whose campaign is having re most trouble makes the most mistakes (usually), and those mistakes are reported over and over again by the press.

Looking at this more broadly, heightened negative coverage can also just be an indication that one candidate is just doing more things that deserve negative coverage--the Palin pick, the tone deaf Ayers attacks and McCain's politically blundering actions during the financial crisis come to mind. Whatever you think of of Obama's politics, it's pretty clear he has been running a very good, almost flawless, campaign.

I hate to say this

Justin;
I hate to say this but I knew someone would in essence respond with "Well McCain got more negative coverage because he deserves it". Obviously partisanship can lead to reasons why one candidate should get negative press over the other. That wasn't the point IMHO of the study. I read in the article that factual reporting that generated negative viewship/readership reaction leads to negative follow up reporting. (i.e. 1) "McCain campaign questions Obama relationship with Ayers 2) Obama supporters respond with disgust 3) McCain attack ads disturb voters). My point is that the press has now become the amplifier (as was so eloquently described above). You can see the obvious present and future campaign response: Always respond indignantly. Hence we get "socialism is a code word for black" or "Obama campaign is sexist". At what point are campaign responses just not worthy of coverage?

Finally, I'm not convinced that the smooth running of a campaign is a reason for a "positive" or "negative". If Vladimir Putin ran a flawless campaign would that make us feel better?

Chris

I don't disagree that the

I don't disagree that the press amplifies events, but also, all things aren't equal on both sides. For example (again), McCain's biggest decision in this race was the Palin pick-- initially the press fawned over her and the positive reaction she got from the public. Once Palin was interviewed it became clear that she is completely unqualified, which brings McCain's judgment into serious question. Their is no equivalent action on the Obama side. McCain/Palin have been engaging in nasty personal attacks that most voters don't care about--again, no equivalent on the Obama side. Now Palin's incoherence is reported, which leads more people not to like her, which leads to more bad reporting; that unfortunately is the way the modern press works, but the incorrect assumption behind much of this press criticism is that there is an equal amount of "negative" stuff to report on both sides, and the press just decides to pick one side (which ends up getting amplified in press echo chamber).

There are certainly a lot of valid reasons to criticize the MSM, but too often those criticism turn into extreme distrust of any portrayal of reality that doesn't jibe with one's own, and an odd belief that the press is this monolith that has amazing powers to get people to do what they want (like vote for Obama).

McCain's biggest decision in

McCain's biggest decision in this race was the Palin pick-- initially the press fawned over her and the positive reaction she got from the public.

Are you ******* kidding me, Justin? The press fawned over her? They set out to destroy her from minute one, and you think that the press fawned over her? What planet are you living on?

And what was Obama's biggest

And what was Obama's biggest decision? Ditching Wright? Justin, your spin is not based in fact.

Justin, with all respect, I've got to go with Simon on this one:

initially the press fawned over her and the positive reaction she got from the public.

I'm going to have to call that ridiculous, as the initial press coverage was something bordering on hysterical contempt. I'll keep saying it until my tongue bleeds, but the initial press assault on Palin has muddled the waters so to speak, and now valid critiques of Palin are allowed to be treated as media hatchet jobs, because of the initial hatchet job Palin received from the press.

THis is coming from an Obama supporter, BTW.

"In the world you will find tribulation, but be of good cheer, for I have overcome the world."

John 16:33

Of all the nasty, personal attacks....

...that the McCain/Palin camp made on Obama, this one tops the list. Hands down.

You're absolutely correct; there is no equivalent from the Obama camp, despite ample opportunity.

Here's one that invites that righteous indignation

Quote today from Joe (no, not "that Joe", the "other Joe", no not that one either the other "Senator Joe". This is getting confusing...anyway)

"I know Halloween is coming, but John McCain as the candidate of change? Whoa, come on," Biden said during an outdoor rally in the capital city's downtown. "John McCain and change? He needs a costume for that. Folks, the American people aren't going to buy this."

Now there's a respectful tone. Now I'll agree that its in line with the McCain celebrity ads (or as Sen. McCain said "A little fun") but one could reasonably expect some righteous indignation at the remark. Well at least he didn't say "He needs a white sheet for that folks..."

Chris

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